Archive for October, 2009

October’s Monthly Rainfall Totals
October 31, 2009

October 2009 will go down as the 3rd wettest October ever recorded and the coldest October ever recorded in Fort Smith. Here are some impressive monthly rainfall totals. Note that Mena has already picked up on more than 70 inches of rain for the year, that should easily be the most ever recorded.

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Fort Smith picked up 10.26″, Fayeteville had 10.71″, Westville had 9.99″, and Talihina had 10.99″ for the month.

Ross Ellet

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Trick or Treat Forecast…..
October 30, 2009

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Saturday night’s looking perfect for the trick or treaters.  Under a clear sky temperatures around sundown will start in the mid to upper 50’s, and slowly drop into the mid to upper 40’s by 10 p.m.  Winds will be light, so don’t expect a wind chill problem.  Happy Halloween!

Please note the winds pictured above on the graphic are wrong..that was my mistake…the winds will be light for Halloween Night. 

Drew Michaels

Razorback Forecast……Go Hogs!
October 30, 2009

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Fall Foliage Pictures
October 30, 2009

Peak fall color in northwest Arkansas is quickly turning to brown and falling leaves. Soon the landscape will be bare as more rain and wind is expected over the next 48 hours. Color is currently near peak across the river valley. Now is the time to get out and enjoy the colors before they slip away over the next week and a half. I was able to enjoy the brief sunshine and shoot some pictures of the fall foliage on Wednesday. Here are a few of the pictures.

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Below is Hawksbill Crag, the two guys out on the crag are from the Arkansas Education Television Network (AETN, division of PBS) which were shooting a segment that will air on the show Exploring Arkansas on PBS (aetn.org).

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This is the shot looking down from the crag, notice most of the peak color is now gone.

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The following shots are down the mountain in lost valley. There is still some peak color along the trail.

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Eden Falls

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You can view more fall foliage pics at the link below

http://www.rossellet.com/webpage%20autumn%2010_30_09/index.html

Ross Ellet

Yesterdays Storms
October 30, 2009

Here is video from my storm chase yesterday. The best part starts 11 seconds in and shows some rotation and possible funnel (best visible around 30 seconds in on left side) near Lequire Oklahoma. The storm was severe and radar was showing weak rotation in this spot at this time. At the end of the video I sped it up and reversed it to try and show it better but the rain made it difficult to see. The tree and powerlines were down on Hwy 164 between Hwy 64 and I-40 north of Coal Hill/Hartman in Johnson County.

Afternoon Sunshine Likely
October 30, 2009

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Here’s the latest visible satellite image.  The clouds are eroding across eastern Oklahoma faster than expected.  That’s good news because we’ll likely see a mix of clouds and sun this afternoon before going completelyclear by this evening!  The RUC model guidance also supports this solution.

Temperatures with some sun this afternoon will likely climb into the 50’s areawide.  You’ll start out Saturday morning with temperatures in the 30’s under a clear sky!

Drew Michaels

LIGHT MORNING RAIN…
October 30, 2009

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We are not completely through with the rain this morning.  A few light rain showers are showing up on the radar, but most of the rain will be out of the area this afternoon.  The latest cloud forecast is showing a good chance for some areas of sunshine later today, but with breezy winds out of the West we won’t warm up that much for your Friday.

CLOUD FORECAST (FRIDAY 1PM)

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BLOG ENTRY BY: PATRICK CRAWFORD (10-30  5:40AM)

New Fall Foliage Report
October 29, 2009

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Here’s the latest fall foliage report courtesy of www.arkansas.com

Eastern Arkansas – In the eastern regions, the color is over 50% and is expected to be at peak within a week. Near Crowley’s Ridge, the color seems to be ahead of schedule. Most of the sumacs and hickories have started turning. The oaks and maples are starting to change as well. Peak will probably be within the next week or two. In past years, the first week of November has been the best time to view the fall foliage in this area, but with the stress of the ice storm and the extra rain, it may peak a little earlier. Predicted peak of color: Mid November

Southern Arkansas – Near the Cossatot River, the colors are very vibrant, with an estimated peek around the 1st weekend of November. Predicted peak of color: Early November

Central Arkansas – The central region will be very close to, if not at, peak color this coming weekend and next week. All varieties of deciduous trees and plants are changing colors. Sugar maples, bald cypress, pecans, hickories, and sweet gum are creating a colorful show. Hardwoods, such as oaks and elms, did not leave us with much color this year and have mostly turned a yellowish-brown this past week. Sumac and other smaller shrubs are becoming more intense in color as the nights become cooler. Predicted peak of color: Early November

Northwest/North Central – Lake Fort Smith State Park is reporting that the leaves have reached full color already, due in part to the ice storm and heavy rains that have occurred. It’s important to note that the yellows have begun to turn brown rather quickly and may be gone in the next couple of weeks. Predicted peak of color: In Progress

Drew Michaels

10 P.M. Rainfall Totals
October 29, 2009

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Very impressive totals from this storm system; and the rain isn’t finished yet!  The severe weather threat is done for the night.  Lingering showers just ahead of the front will continue through midnight. 

This October is one of the wettest on record for our area!  Fort Smith’s October total puts them at the 3rd wettest October on record.

Drew Michaels

6:00 PM Update…
October 29, 2009

Showers and storms responsible for producing heavy rainfall and gusty winds are slowly moving out of northwest Arkansas and the River Valley.  Although a tornado watch remains in effect until Midnight, the overall severe threat is winding down across the area. 

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Storms through 7 p.m. may contain small hail and gusty winds to 60 mph across western Arkansas; however, I would imagine the weather service will start cutting back the watch as the front moves in from the west.

Drew Michaels