The weekend will be quiet and warm. Highs in the 80′s and 90′s are expected; however, a cold front arrives on Monday night, and that’s causing concern for strong to severe storms.
Both the GFS and the NAM are very similar in story when it comes to Monday’s forecast. We should be capped throughout the afternoon and quiet. Moisture and heating will increase during the day causing the instability to rise dramatically.
Showers and storms will likely develop toward the late afternoon along I-35 where the dryline sets up. The dryline is forecast to move east and will be the focus for showers and storms during the evening.
Those storms off the dryline could produce large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. The timing for the storms looks to be from 6 p.m. to Midnight.
A lot can change from now until then, but if the ingredients do come together, this could be a big severe weather event.
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