The overall pattern has been brining above average temperatures for about the last year. The question is can it slow down or reverse in time for summer?
A moderate to strong La Nina has been partially to blame for the mild conditions. That pattern is now weakening and is expected to dissolve completely by late April to early May. Neutral conditions are expected to remain for the summer with a slight chance for a weak El Nino developing around mid Summer. An El Nino brings our part of the country cooler than normal weather on most years.
Given the current set up, and expected pattern shifts for the summer, we don’t see a clear signal for either above average or below average temperatures. In theory, summer temperatures should be within a couple of degrees of the average.
On the other hand, the Climate Prediction Center is favoring another hot summer.
This is their current summer outlook which shows a 33% chance of above average temperatures. Tell us what you think in the poll at the top of this post. Summer officially begins on June 20th.
Follow us on twitter “4029weather”