Cold Front Moving Through… January 31, 2012

A cold front will continue to move throughout the area by Wednesday morning.  The front is forecast to hold up across the Ouachitas for Wednesday afternoon, and the front will provide a focus for some storms. A disturbance aloft could spark off some scattered showers and storms across the Ouachitas during the late morning and afternoon.  Most [...]

Better Agreement…Storms Not Snow Likely On Friday January 31, 2012

The computer models are finally coming together and it isn’t good news for snow lovers. Heavy rain and thunderstorms are likely Friday evening as a strong storm system will dig and track northwest of the area. This will keep us way to warm for snow. In fact there is a better chance for severe weather [...]

Thunderstorm Potential for Tuesday….10 p.m. Update January 30, 2012

Mild and breezy tonight as temperatures fall into the lower 50′s.  Low gulf stratus will continue to roll north overnight into Tuesday morning.  Highs on Tuesday will climb into the 60′s on breezy southerly winds.  It’s a tricky temperature forecast with the stratus deck.  If the sky turns partly cloudy during the afternoon, temperatures could soar into [...]

Cold Front Tuesday Night….Showers & Storms Possible January 30, 2012

We will continue to enjoy unseasonably warm temperatures for both Monday and Tuesday thanks to a southerly flow at the surface.  Those south winds will also transport low-level moisture back across the area tonight and into Tuesday. A cold front is forecast to arrive for Tuesday evening.  Ahead of the front dewpoints will likely climb [...]

10:30 AM Update – Wintry Mix Possibility / Model Disagreement Ahead… January 30, 2012

Well as Drew and Ross mentioned, there’s both the chance for a rain/snow mix as well as a great deal of model uncertainty regarding what’s going to happen late this week and into the weekend. Let’s start out with the Euro computer model, which keeps our potential system held up to our West (ooz run) into the weekend. [...]

Tricky Late Week Storm Could Bring Snow January 29, 2012

The forecast is about as wishy-washy as it gets. It will stay warm over the next few days but after that an upper level low will move into the area sometime between Friday and next Monday. The computer models are very inconsistent. They keep showing a storm impacting the area at the end of the week, [...]

12Z GFS Hinting at Snow for Next Saturday……. January 28, 2012

Well the 12Z GFS wants all of the snow fans out there to get excited for some winter weather.  As usual it’s the outlier, but it’s a fun scenario to watch.  The GFS cuts off an upper level low across the central plains by next Friday into Saturday.  The cold air is forecast to wrap around [...]

Saturday Night Backyard Astronomy January 27, 2012

The clear sky for Saturday night will give us ideal conditions for some backyard astronomy.  Look to the western sky around dusk to see the Moon, Jupiter, and Venus aligned together. Behind the Moon and the Sun, both Venus and Jupiter are the brightest objects in the night sky. I read an interesting explanation from [...]

Cold Front Moves In Tonight January 27, 2012

Our next weather maker moves in tonight in the form of a cold front. High clouds will move in this morning to mix with sunshine. The sky will become partly cloudy this afternoon. The front itself will move in around 7pm tonight. This will allow temperatures to warm up nicely today. A sprinkle or two [...]

Storm Spotter Classes…… January 26, 2012

I just want to get some of these classes on your radar, yes, pun intended!  These classes from the National Weather Service are a great way to learn more about storm spotting safety and storm structure.  The first class is scheduled at the University of Arkansas in Fayetteville.  The class will be held at the [...]