Whether it’s a complex of thunderstorms, or a possible decaying hurricane, we’re a safe bet this year to see significant rainfall across the area. The summer has been above average with precipitation, so why would we deviate from that trend going into the fall?
Take a look at the Hydrological Prediction Center’s precipitation outlook for this week. Depending [...]
Hurricane Gustav strengthened from a minimal CAT1 storm to a CAT4 in about 24 hours which is quite unprecedented. As the storm passed over western Cuba the clearly visible eye became disrupted and cloud filled. Now that the storm is in the Gulf it will likely re-intensify to at least a strong CAT4 or possibly [...]
Gustav has now become well-organized and is strengthening; it’s likely that sometime over the next few hours and into the overnight period that Gustav will develop an eye. Wind shear is low over the storm and the only land mass that could impact the storm at this point is western Cuba. Some weakening could occur [...]
URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1011
AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005
…DEVASTATING DAMAGE EXPECTED…
HURRICANE KATRINA…A MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE WITH UNPRECEDENTED STRENGTH…RIVALING THE INTENSITY OF HURRICANE CAMILLE OF 1969.
MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS…PERHAPS LONGER. AT LEAST ONE HALF OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE ROOF AND WALL FAILURE. ALL [...]
SURFACE MAP
The cold front is now moving through SW Missouri and SE Kansas. It will move through our viewing area today and give us a good chance for showers and storms. Are we expecting any severe thunderstorms? Here is the very latest:
FRIDAY AFTERNOON PRECIPITATION FORECAST
FRIDAY AFTERNOON CONVECTIVE AVAILABLE POTENTIAL ENERGY (CAPE)
CAPE shows [...]
Even though the SPC doesn’t have our area in a slight risk for severe weather, we still feel there may be isolated strong to possibly severe storms for Friday afternoon and evening.
Upper level winds really tell the story when it comes to widespread severe weather. Tomorrow the strong winds aloft remain to the north, so no [...]
Gustav has now pushed slightly to the Southwest away from Haiti and is now moving West over Jamaica at 7 mph. The consensus among model tracks as well as the National Hurricane center’s official track, takes Gustav to the WNW, clipping the western section of Cuba. After this point, the storm will be in the Gulf. Presently [...]
The tropics are extremely active this week. Not only are we watching Gustav, but now a new tropical depression has been introduced and this will become a tropical storm later today (Hanna). Here is the latest track from the National Hurricane Center:
We could possibly be dealing with 2 hurricanes hitting the United States [...]
A frontal boundary is slowly moving our way for Friday. This front will act as a focus for showers and storms for Friday afternoon; this may also help to produce strong to severe storms!
The map above is a model projection for CAPE values. High CAPE values usually indicate the potential for strong updrafts. The stronger the updraft [...]
Gustav did weaken through the overnight; thanks to some shearing from mountains in Haiti. Unfortunately he will not continue to weaken, but continue to strengthen over the next 48 hours.
CARIBBEAN WATCHES/WARNINGS
Here is look at the watches and warnings that Gustav has created. For Haiti and Jamaica only tropical storm warnings, but for Cuba [...]
