COLD AND DRY October 31, 2007

The green numbers are the dewpoint temperatures. Note how they actually drop into the upper teens and 20s to our northwest. This is some mighty dry air, which cools and heats up efficiently, though in the immediate future we’ll be focused on the cool side of things. This air is back behind [...]

Trick or Treat..Here Comes the Front October 31, 2007

Happy Halloween to all of your ghouls and goblins! What a perfect fall afternoon. Warm southerly winds ahead of a cold front have allowed temperatures to climb into the 60s and 70s; however, cooler changes are on the way for this evening as the front will pass through. The good news of course is that [...]

VERY COLD AIR POSSIBLE… October 31, 2007

Looking well ahead into the forecast, models are leaning towards pulling in some cold Canadian air for the next week. The timing of this strong Cold Air Advection (Cold air advection is the process in which the wind blows from a region of cold air to a region of warmer air) looks to [...]

HALLOWEEN FORECAST October 30, 2007

The weather should cooperate with all of our outdoor plans for Halloween. Expect a nice warm up into the afternoon across the area. That will allow some mild temperatures for all the trick or treating. Not everyone across the United States will be so lucky. Florida will be dealing with [...]

Fall Foliage Changes with the Temperature October 29, 2007

It has been an unusually warm autumn so far. Look at the average highs and lows in early October for both Fayetteville and Fort Smith. In fact, throughout the first 10 days of the month, temperatures were in the 80s and 90s. There’s no coincidence that late fall temperatures are contributing to a late color [...]

THE LATEST ON TROPICAL STORM NOEL October 29, 2007

Tropical Storm Noel is currently spinning just the the south of Haiti. As it makes landfall it should weaken to a tropical depression. The good news is that Noel is showing no signs of strengthening and no signs of hitting U.S. land. As Noel moves just to the east of the [...]

NOEL October 29, 2007

In 72 hours time, the latest model guidance takes TS Noel up to an 85 Kt. Hurricane, which would be a weak Cat 2 storm. The storm is slow moving so right now the biggest threat is flooding. Don’t forget flooding is the number one killer among weather related phenomena! The general [...]

A FLAT JET October 28, 2007

Over the next few days the jetstream will be parked to our North and running more or less west to east, eventually dipping to the SSE as a ridge of High pressure builds in. With the exception of a few pushes of cooler air (weak fronts), keeping a major warm up in check, we look [...]

SNOW IN NOVEMBER? October 27, 2007

The long range weather models are hinting at snow in the Great Lakes within the next 10 days. The first image you are seeing is a precipitation forecast for November 4. If you look over Lake Michigan, this model is showing some form of precipitation taking place. No you might be saying, Patrick…how do you [...]

LOW MOVING SLOWLY TO THE NORTH October 26, 2007

The low pressure system that has been stalled out to our south and southeast over the past 3 days is finally moving…this time to the north. It’s the closest this low pressure has been since it swept through the area on Monday. The good news is that this system should continue on a northerly path [...]